Trump is likely to have a difficult time winning the White House this November.
His poll numbers are declining rapidly, his base is dwindling and his agenda has no legs, especially with his recent actions on immigration.
The president is unlikely to be able to gain the support of the Republican establishment, including its members of Congress, and it will be more difficult for him to secure a majority of votes in the House of Representatives.
Republicans have a much more difficult task than Trump will have to navigate in November, but Trump has a few things to work with, said Paul Taylor, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.
First and foremost, the Republican Party will have a lot of work to do to secure enough seats to fill the remainder of the term, Taylor said.
Second, the Republicans will need to win the Senate, and in order to do that, they will have several opportunities to take back control of the chamber.
Third, they’ll have to keep the Senate controlled, which means it will take at least a year for the House to reconvene, Taylor noted.
Finally, the Democrats will have an easier time passing legislation in the Senate.
In 2020, Democrats had to hold the chamber together until 2018 in order for the party to retake control of both chambers.
As such, it will likely take longer for the Democrats to control the chamber in 2020 than it would have in 2020, Taylor predicted.
“It will be a long haul to recapture control of Congress,” Taylor said of the Senate in 2020.
“But I think it’s going to be a lot easier to get it done than it is now.”
The next step in the GOP’s legislative agenda will be passing the American Health Care Act, or AHCA, a bill that would roll back many of the Affordable Care Act’s major provisions.
Trump is expected to sign the bill, which he is expected the House will likely pass.